CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Lightweight · 3R · 2021-11-13 · Las VegasRef: Marc Goddard
Thiago Moises

Thiago Moises

8-8 UFC

Lightweight

50%

Win %

25%

Finish %

VS

Tko

Elbows to Head In Clinch

Rd 1 · 3:01

Joel Alvarez
WINNER

Joel Alvarez

8-3 UFC

Welterweight

73%

Win %

64%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

MoisesStatAlvarez
11/24
Sig Strikes
44/73
11/24
Total Strikes
44/73
0/0
Takedowns
0/0
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

THIAGO MOISES

25%

FINISH %

2.4

STRIKES / MIN

178 cm

REACH

175 cm

HEIGHT

JOEL ALVAREZ

64%

FINISH %

4.5

STRIKES / MIN

196 cm

REACH

191 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

MoisesBookAlvarez
-275BetMGM+210
-250BetRivers+195
-275BetWay+210
-270Caesars+220
-240DraftKings+195
-290FanDuel+235
-250Unibet+195

PROP LINES

Alvarez wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+900
BetWay+700
DraftKings+900
FanDuel+850
Unibet+900

Moises wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+500
BetWay+500
DraftKings+500
FanDuel+600
Unibet+500

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers-167
BetWay-150
Caesars-175
DraftKings-165
FanDuel-140

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
0:00
Control Time
0:02
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

5(28%)
HEAD
27(50%)
3(100%)
BODY
12(86%)
3(100%)
LEG
5(100%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

11(46%)
DISTANCE
36(59%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
8(67%)
0(0%)
GROUND
0(0%)
Unibet-167

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-250
Unibet-250

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers-200
BetWay-200
Caesars-200
Unibet-200

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers+150
BetWay+150
Caesars+150
Unibet+150

Fight is a draw

BetRivers+6600
BetWay+5000
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+6600

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+900
BetWay+350
DraftKings+330
FanDuel+350

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+1300
BetWay+550
DraftKings+500
FanDuel+500

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+1800
BetWay+800
DraftKings+800
FanDuel+700

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetRivers+1600
DraftKings+1800

Alvarez wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+500
FanDuel+550
Unibet+500

Moises wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+280
FanDuel+340
Unibet+280

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+175
Unibet+175

Over 1½ rounds

BetWay-350

Under 1½ rounds

BetWay+240

Alvarez wins in round 1

BetWay+900
DraftKings+900
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+900

Moises wins in round 1

BetWay+500
DraftKings+500
FanDuel+650
Unibet+600

Alvarez wins in round 2

BetWay+1200
DraftKings+1100
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1300

Moises wins in round 2

BetWay+700
DraftKings+850
FanDuel+900
Unibet+800

Alvarez wins in round 3

BetWay+1600
DraftKings+1800
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1800

Moises wins in round 3

BetWay+1200
DraftKings+1200
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1100

Fight starts round 2

DraftKings-500
FanDuel-550

Fight starts round 3

DraftKings-250
FanDuel-230

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings+330
FanDuel+360

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+275
FanDuel+240

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+2000

Either fighter wins by unanimous decision

DraftKings+110

Either fighter wins by split/majority decision

DraftKings+400

Alvarez wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+420
Unibet+375

Moises wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel-120
Unibet-125

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

FanDuel+950

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

FanDuel+1300

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

FanDuel+1700

Fight ends in submission in round 1

FanDuel+650

Fight ends in submission in round 2

FanDuel+950

Fight ends in submission in round 3

FanDuel+1200