CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Welterweight · 3R · 2023-04-22 · Las VegasRef: Marc Goddard
Jeremiah Wells
WINNER

Jeremiah Wells

5-2 UFC

Welterweight

71%

Win %

43%

Finish %

VS

Split Decision

Matthew Semelsberger

Matthew Semelsberger

5-6 UFC

Welterweight

46%

Win %

18%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

30Eric Colon27
28Rick Winter29
30Junichiro Kamijo27

FIGHT STATS

WellsStatSemelsberger
36/76
Sig Strikes
20/37
86/158
Total Strikes
39/59
6/10
Takedowns
0/1
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

JEREMIAH WELLS

43%

FINISH %

2.4

STRIKES / MIN

188 cm

REACH

175 cm

HEIGHT

MATTHEW SEMELSBERGER

18%

FINISH %

3.8

STRIKES / MIN

191 cm

REACH

185 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

WellsBookSemelsberger
-105BetMGM-115
+115BetRivers-143
+100BetWay-120
+110Caesars-130
-102FanDuel-116
+115Unibet-143

PROP LINES

Wells wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+300
BetRivers+510
BetWay+400
FanDuel+410
Unibet+510

Semelsberger wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+275
BetRivers+250
BetWay+275
FanDuel+310
Unibet+250

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+6600
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

2
11:12
Control Time
1:29
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

29(43%)
HEAD
17(52%)
7(78%)
BODY
3(75%)
0(0%)
LEG
0(0%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

10(36%)
DISTANCE
12(55%)
2(67%)
CLINCH
4(80%)
24(53%)
GROUND
4(40%)

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+145
BetWay+150
Caesars+145
FanDuel+154
Unibet+145

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-130
Unibet-130

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-180
BetWay-175
FanDuel-166
Unibet-180

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+133
BetWay+130
FanDuel+130
Unibet+133

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+110
BetWay+115
Unibet+110

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-148
BetWay-150
Unibet-148

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+185
BetWay+200
FanDuel+200
Unibet+185

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+390
BetWay+400
FanDuel+330
Unibet+390

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+525
BetWay+600
FanDuel+550
Unibet+525

Wells wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+270
FanDuel+200
Unibet+270

Semelsberger wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+265
FanDuel+330
Unibet+265

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-112
Unibet-112

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+310
FanDuel+400
Unibet+310

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+550
FanDuel+600
Unibet+550

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+800
FanDuel+900
Unibet+800

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+540
FanDuel+650
Unibet+540

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+900
FanDuel+950
Unibet+900

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1300
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1300

Wells wins in round 1

BetWay+350
FanDuel+400
Unibet+460

Semelsberger wins in round 1

BetWay+500
FanDuel+650
Unibet+475

Wells wins in round 2

BetWay+550
FanDuel+650
Unibet+850

Semelsberger wins in round 2

BetWay+700
FanDuel+850
Unibet+800

Wells wins in round 3

BetWay+900
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1100

Semelsberger wins in round 3

BetWay+1200
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1050

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-300

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-118

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+135

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+270

Wells wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+320
Unibet+350

Semelsberger wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+200
Unibet+188