CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Flyweight · 3R · 2024-04-27 · Las VegasRef: Mark Smith
Matheus Nicolau

Matheus Nicolau

7-4 UFC

Flyweight

64%

Win %

18%

Finish %

VS

Tko

Punch to Head At Distance

Rd 2 · 2:16

Alex Perez
WINNER

Alex Perez

8-6 UFC

Flyweight

57%

Win %

43%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

NicolauStatPerez
22/55
Sig Strikes
28/71
22/55
Total Strikes
28/71
0/0
Takedowns
0/0
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

MATHEUS NICOLAU

18%

FINISH %

3.3

STRIKES / MIN

168 cm

REACH

168 cm

HEIGHT

ALEX PEREZ

43%

FINISH %

4.4

STRIKES / MIN

165 cm

REACH

168 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

NicolauBookPerez
-185BetMGM+150
-186BetRivers+148
-175BetWay+140
-190Caesars+160
-175DraftKings+145
-188FanDuel+146
-186Unibet+148

PROP LINES

Perez wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+450
BetRivers+460
BetWay+333
DraftKings+400
FanDuel+420
Unibet+460

Nicolau wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+450
BetRivers+540
BetWay+500
DraftKings+450
FanDuel+550
Unibet+540

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+6600

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

1
0:00
Control Time
0:02
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

13(30%)
HEAD
11(22%)
4(80%)
BODY
8(73%)
5(83%)
LEG
9(90%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

22(40%)
DISTANCE
28(39%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
0(0%)
0(0%)
GROUND
0(0%)
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+112
BetWay+120
Caesars+120
DraftKings+120
FanDuel+120
Unibet+112

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-134
Unibet-134

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-500
BetWay-350
Unibet-500

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+320
BetWay+240
Unibet+320

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers-245
BetWay-200
Unibet-245

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers+175
BetWay+150
Unibet+175

Over 3½ rounds

BetRivers-152
BetWay-138
Unibet-152

Under 3½ rounds

BetRivers+115
BetWay+105
Unibet+115

Over 4½ rounds

BetRivers-115
BetWay+105
FanDuel-110
Unibet-115

Under 4½ rounds

BetRivers-115
BetWay-138
FanDuel-116
Unibet-115

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+450
BetWay+300
FanDuel+430
Unibet+450

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+550
BetWay+500
FanDuel+550
Unibet+550

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+700
BetWay+800
FanDuel+700
Unibet+700

Fight ends in round 4

BetRivers+850
BetWay+1000
FanDuel+800
Unibet+850

Fight ends in round 5

BetRivers+900
BetWay+1200
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+900

Perez wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+650
Unibet+650

Nicolau wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+430
Unibet+430

Perez wins in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+900
Unibet+900

Nicolau wins in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+600
Unibet+600

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+225
Unibet+225

Fight ends in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+350
Unibet+350

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+800
FanDuel+950
Unibet+800

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+1000
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1000

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+1200
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1200

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 4

BetRivers+1500
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1500

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 5

BetRivers+1600
FanDuel+2000
Unibet+1600

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+800
FanDuel+900
Unibet+800

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+950
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+950

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1050
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1050

Fight ends in submission in round 4

BetRivers+1500
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1500

Fight ends in submission in round 5

BetRivers+1600
FanDuel+1900
Unibet+1600

Perez wins in round 1

BetWay+800
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+1200

Nicolau wins in round 1

BetWay+500
FanDuel+750
Unibet+850

Perez wins in round 2

BetWay+1000
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1400

Nicolau wins in round 2

BetWay+800
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1000

Perez wins in round 3

BetWay+1400
FanDuel+1700
Unibet+1600

Nicolau wins in round 3

BetWay+1000
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1150

Perez wins in round 4

BetWay+1800
FanDuel+1900
Unibet+2000

Nicolau wins in round 4

BetWay+1400
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1400

Perez wins in round 5

BetWay+2200
FanDuel+2400
Unibet+2000

Nicolau wins in round 5

BetWay+1800
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1500

Perez has more takedowns

BetWay+125

Nicolau has more takedowns

BetWay+150

Perez has more significant strikes

BetWay-105

Nicolau has more significant strikes

BetWay-125

Perez has more significant strikes in round 1

BetWay-110

Nicolau has more significant strikes in round 1

BetWay-110

Perez has more significant strikes in round 2

BetWay-110

Nicolau has more significant strikes in round 2

BetWay-110

Perez has more significant strikes in round 3

BetWay-110

Nicolau has more significant strikes in round 3

BetWay-110

Perez has more significant strikes in round 4

BetWay-110

Nicolau has more significant strikes in round 4

BetWay-110

Perez has more significant strikes in round 5

BetWay-110

Nicolau has more significant strikes in round 5

BetWay-110

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

DraftKings+1800

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings+180
FanDuel+200

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+200
FanDuel+195

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+2000

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-700

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-290

Fight starts round 4

FanDuel-168

Fight starts round 5

FanDuel-118

Perez wins in final round or by decision

Unibet+380

Nicolau wins in final round or by decision

Unibet+170