CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Catch Weight · 3R · 2024-11-16 · New York CityRef: Kevin MacDonald
Mauricio Ruffy
WINNER

Mauricio Ruffy

5-1 UFC

Lightweight

83%

Win %

67%

Finish %

VS

Decision

James Llontop

James Llontop

0-3 UFC

Catch Weight

0%

Win %

0%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

29Eric Colon28
29Ron McCarthy28
29Bryan Miner28

FIGHT STATS

RuffyStatLlontop
67/113
Sig Strikes
90/236
74/120
Total Strikes
112/260
0/0
Takedowns
0/6
1
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

MAURICIO RUFFY

67%

FINISH %

4.0

STRIKES / MIN

191 cm

REACH

180 cm

HEIGHT

JAMES LLONTOP

0%

FINISH %

5.8

STRIKES / MIN

185 cm

REACH

183 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

RuffyBookLlontop
-1000BetMGM+650
-910BetRivers+600
-1000BetWay+600
-1000Caesars+650
-1000DraftKings+650
-950FanDuel+640

PROP LINES

Ruffy wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM-165
BetRivers-152
BetWay-175
DraftKings-150
FanDuel-140

Llontop wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+1800
BetRivers+1500
BetWay+1200
DraftKings+1800
FanDuel+1700

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+6600
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
0:16
Control Time
1:20
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

53(55%)
HEAD
29(20%)
6(75%)
BODY
39(63%)
8(100%)
LEG
22(71%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

57(56%)
DISTANCE
75(35%)
3(100%)
CLINCH
15(71%)
7(78%)
GROUND
0(0%)

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+165
BetWay+163
Caesars+140
DraftKings+150
FanDuel+174

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-110

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-157
BetWay-138

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+117
BetWay+105

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+125
BetWay+130
FanDuel+150

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-167
BetWay-175
FanDuel-192

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+175
BetWay+175
FanDuel+185

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+330
BetWay+300
FanDuel+340

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+550
BetWay+550
FanDuel+500

Llontop wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+1700
FanDuel+1800

Ruffy wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-113
FanDuel-115

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-130

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+170
FanDuel+220

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+320
FanDuel+400

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+525
FanDuel+600

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+2200
FanDuel+1900

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+3000
FanDuel+2800

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+4000
FanDuel+3600

Llontop wins in round 1

BetWay+2000
FanDuel+3000

Ruffy wins in round 1

BetWay+175
FanDuel+200

Llontop wins in round 2

BetWay+2500
FanDuel+3600

Ruffy wins in round 2

BetWay+300
FanDuel+380

Llontop wins in round 3

BetWay+3300
FanDuel+4200

Ruffy wins in round 3

BetWay+600
FanDuel+550

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

DraftKings+900

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings-160
FanDuel-170

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+700
FanDuel+950

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+2000

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-260

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-110

Llontop wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+900

Ruffy wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+130