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← UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Lightweight · 3R · 2026-05-09 · NewarkRef: Mike Beltran
Grant Dawson
WINNER

Grant Dawson

12-2 UFC

Lightweight

80%

Win %

47%

Finish %

VS

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

Rd 3 · 4:42

Mateusz Rebecki

Mateusz Rebecki

4-4 UFC

Lightweight

50%

Win %

25%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

DawsonStatRebecki
35/94
Sig Strikes
33/64
71/136
Total Strikes
49/81
1/3
Takedowns
1/5
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

GRANT DAWSON

47%

FINISH %

3.1

STRIKES / MIN

183 cm

REACH

178 cm

HEIGHT

MATEUSZ REBECKI

25%

FINISH %

4.9

STRIKES / MIN

168 cm

REACH

170 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

DawsonBookRebecki
-143BetRivers+115
-150BetWay+120
-160Caesars+135
-146FanDuel+124
-143Unibet+115

PROP LINES

Rebecki wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+275
BetWay+225
FanDuel+240
Unibet+275

Dawson wins by TKO/KO

BetRivers+700
BetWay+800
FanDuel+700
Unibet+700

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers-115
BetWay-125
FanDuel-104
Unibet-115

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-205

HIGHLIGHTS

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Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

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Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

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1
7:08
Control Time
2:22
4
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

19(28%)
HEAD
27(48%)
14(61%)
BODY
1(50%)
2(50%)
LEG
5(83%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

24(30%)
DISTANCE
27(54%)
6(86%)
CLINCH
4(100%)
5(83%)
GROUND
2(20%)
Unibet
-205

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-278
BetWay-275
Unibet-278

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+195
BetWay+200
Unibet+195

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers-148
BetWay-150
FanDuel-128
Unibet-143

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers+108
BetWay+110
FanDuel+100
Unibet+108

Fight is a draw

BetRivers+4500
BetWay+5000
Caesars+6000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+270
BetWay+275
FanDuel+220
Unibet+270

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+450
BetWay+400
FanDuel+490
Unibet+450

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+650
BetWay+700
FanDuel+850
Unibet+650

Dawson wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+410
FanDuel+390
Unibet+410

Rebecki wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+310
FanDuel+250
Unibet+310

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+138
Unibet+138

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+400
FanDuel+350
Unibet+400

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+650
FanDuel+700
Unibet+650

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+850
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+850

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+750
FanDuel+950
Unibet+750

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+1050
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1050

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1400
FanDuel+2500
Unibet+1400

Dawson wins in round 1

BetWay+800
Caesars+650
FanDuel+650
Unibet+750

Rebecki wins in round 1

BetWay+350
Caesars+500
FanDuel+430
Unibet+575

Dawson wins in round 2

BetWay+1000
Caesars+900
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+1050

Rebecki wins in round 2

BetWay+800
Caesars+800
FanDuel+950
Unibet+900

Dawson wins in round 3

BetWay+1400
Caesars+1300
FanDuel+1700
Unibet+1300

Rebecki wins in round 3

BetWay+1000
Caesars+1100
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1300

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-330

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-152

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+150

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+470

Dawson wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+135
Unibet+135

Rebecki wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+400
Unibet+295