CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Lightweight · 3R · 2025-08-02 · Las VegasRef: Kerry Hatley
Mateusz Rebecki

Mateusz Rebecki

4-4 UFC

Lightweight

50%

Win %

25%

Finish %

VS

Decision

Chris Duncan
WINNER

Chris Duncan

6-2 UFC

Lightweight

75%

Win %

38%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

28Mike Bell29
28Ron McCarthy29
27Junichiro Kamijo30

FIGHT STATS

RebeckiStatDuncan
114/267
Sig Strikes
92/222
123/278
Total Strikes
95/225
2/6
Takedowns
0/1
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

MATEUSZ REBECKI

25%

FINISH %

4.9

STRIKES / MIN

168 cm

REACH

170 cm

HEIGHT

CHRIS DUNCAN

38%

FINISH %

4.6

STRIKES / MIN

180 cm

REACH

178 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

RebeckiBookDuncan
-250BetMGM+200
-265BetRivers+200
-225BetWay+175
-250Caesars+205
-240FanDuel+198
-265Unibet+205

PROP LINES

Duncan wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+400
BetRivers+650
BetWay+500
FanDuel+500
Unibet+650

Rebecki wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+150
BetRivers+155
BetWay+175
FanDuel+170
Unibet+155

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4000
BetWay+6600
Caesars+6000
FanDuel+5000

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
1:23
Control Time
0:27
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

88(37%)
HEAD
67(37%)
7(54%)
BODY
20(57%)
19(100%)
LEG
5(83%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

104(41%)
DISTANCE
85(40%)
10(91%)
CLINCH
7(88%)
0(0%)
GROUND
0(0%)
Unibet+4500

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+145
BetWay+150
FanDuel+166
Unibet+150

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-129
Unibet-129

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-182
BetWay-163
Unibet-182

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+132
BetWay+120
Unibet+135

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+112
BetWay+130
FanDuel+124
Unibet+114

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-152
BetWay-175
FanDuel-158
Unibet-150

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+205
BetWay+175
FanDuel+180
Unibet+205

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+320
BetWay+350
FanDuel+350
Unibet+325

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+475
BetWay+550
FanDuel+550
Unibet+500

Duncan wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+525
FanDuel+460
Unibet+550

Rebecki wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+150
FanDuel+150
Unibet+150

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-115
Unibet-113

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+270
FanDuel+280
Unibet+270

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+410
FanDuel+500
Unibet+410

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+600
FanDuel+750
Unibet+650

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+750
FanDuel+850
Unibet+800

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+950
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1100

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1400
FanDuel+1900
Unibet+1700

Duncan wins in round 1

BetWay+800
Caesars+700
FanDuel+800
Unibet+1000

Rebecki wins in round 1

BetWay+350
Caesars+285
FanDuel+300
Unibet+320

Duncan wins in round 2

BetWay+1000
Caesars+900
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1300

Rebecki wins in round 2

BetWay+500
Caesars+450
FanDuel+550
Unibet+500

Duncan wins in round 3

BetWay+1400
Caesars+1400
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1800

Rebecki wins in round 3

BetWay+800
Caesars+900
FanDuel+850
Unibet+700

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-260

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-110

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel-110

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+400

Duncan wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+430
Unibet+400

Rebecki wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+190
Unibet+170