CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Welterweight · 3R · 2021-11-13 · Las VegasRef: Chris Tognoni
Miguel Baeza

Miguel Baeza

3-4 UFC

Welterweight

43%

Win %

43%

Finish %

VS

Tko

Punch to Head At Distance

Rd 3 · 1:02

Khaos Williams
WINNER

Khaos Williams

7-4 UFC

Welterweight

60%

Win %

40%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

BaezaStatWilliams
31/56
Sig Strikes
49/131
32/57
Total Strikes
60/145
0/2
Takedowns
0/1
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

MIGUEL BAEZA

43%

FINISH %

4.1

STRIKES / MIN

188 cm

REACH

188 cm

HEIGHT

KHAOS WILLIAMS

40%

FINISH %

4.9

STRIKES / MIN

196 cm

REACH

183 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

BaezaBookWilliams
-160BetMGM+130
-148BetRivers+120
-150BetWay+120
-150Caesars+125
-160DraftKings+140
-152FanDuel+128
-148Unibet+120

PROP LINES

Williams wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+210
BetRivers+225
BetWay+200
DraftKings+225
FanDuel+240
Unibet+225

Baeza wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+300
BetRivers+250
BetWay+250
DraftKings+350
FanDuel+300
Unibet+250

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+6600
BetWay+5000

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

1
0:00
Control Time
0:48
5
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

13(37%)
HEAD
23(24%)
1(25%)
BODY
6(86%)
17(100%)
LEG
20(67%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

31(55%)
DISTANCE
36(32%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
2(50%)
0(0%)
GROUND
11(79%)
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+6600

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+130
BetWay+120
Caesars+125
DraftKings+110
FanDuel+130
Unibet+130

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-134
Unibet-134

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+105
BetWay+105
Caesars+100
Unibet+105

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-139
BetWay-138
Caesars-137
Unibet-139

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+450
BetWay+188
DraftKings+215
FanDuel+230

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+750
BetWay+400
DraftKings+380
FanDuel+340

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+1200
BetWay+700
DraftKings+650
FanDuel+500

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetRivers+900
DraftKings+1100

Williams wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+225
FanDuel+310
Unibet+225

Baeza wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+210
FanDuel+250
Unibet+210

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-103
Unibet-103

Over 1½ rounds

BetWay-188

Under 1½ rounds

BetWay+140

Williams wins in round 1

BetWay+400
DraftKings+400
FanDuel+600
Unibet+450

Baeza wins in round 1

BetWay+450
DraftKings+500
FanDuel+500
Unibet+425

Williams wins in round 2

BetWay+700
DraftKings+750
FanDuel+850
Unibet+750

Baeza wins in round 2

BetWay+650
DraftKings+750
FanDuel+650
Unibet+650

Williams wins in round 3

BetWay+1000
DraftKings+1200
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1200

Baeza wins in round 3

BetWay+1000
DraftKings+1200
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1000

Fight starts round 2

DraftKings-300
FanDuel-350

Fight starts round 3

DraftKings-150
FanDuel-128

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings+100
FanDuel-115

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+550
FanDuel+600

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+2000

Either fighter wins by unanimous decision

DraftKings+180

Either fighter wins by split/majority decision

DraftKings+550

Williams wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+300
Unibet+375

Baeza wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+185
Unibet+195

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

FanDuel+310

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

FanDuel+450

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

FanDuel+650

Fight ends in submission in round 1

FanDuel+1400

Fight ends in submission in round 2

FanDuel+1800

Fight ends in submission in round 3

FanDuel+2800