CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Welterweight · 3R · 2023-03-18 · LondonRef: Rich Mitchell
Gunnar Nelson
WINNER

Gunnar Nelson

10-6 UFC

Welterweight

63%

Win %

50%

Finish %

VS

Submission

Armbar From Mount

Rd 1 · 4:51

Bryan Barberena

Bryan Barberena

9-10 UFC

Welterweight

47%

Win %

26%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

NelsonStatBarberena
10/11
Sig Strikes
7/12
20/21
Total Strikes
18/23
1/2
Takedowns
0/0
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

GUNNAR NELSON

50%

FINISH %

1.8

STRIKES / MIN

183 cm

REACH

180 cm

HEIGHT

BRYAN BARBERENA

26%

FINISH %

5.3

STRIKES / MIN

183 cm

REACH

183 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

NelsonBookBarberena
-400BetMGM+300
-420BetRivers+310
-400BetWay+300
-380Caesars+300
-390FanDuel+310
-420Unibet+310

PROP LINES

Barberena wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+500
BetRivers+550
BetWay+550
FanDuel+550
Unibet+550

Nelson wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+700
BetRivers+1300
BetWay+600
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+1300

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
3:13
Control Time
0:00
1
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

8(89%)
HEAD
3(43%)
2(100%)
BODY
0(0%)
0(0%)
LEG
4(80%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

1(50%)
DISTANCE
6(55%)
2(100%)
CLINCH
0(0%)
7(100%)
GROUND
1(100%)

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+155
BetWay+150
Caesars+160
FanDuel+172
Unibet+155

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-109
Unibet-109

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-162
BetWay-188
Unibet-162

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+120
BetWay+140
Unibet+120

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+125
BetWay+105
FanDuel+112
Unibet+125

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-167
BetWay-138
FanDuel-142
Unibet-167

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+155
BetWay+155
FanDuel+165
Unibet+155

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+380
BetWay+350
FanDuel+350
Unibet+380

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+650
BetWay+600
FanDuel+600
Unibet+650

Barberena wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+650
FanDuel+600
Unibet+650

Nelson wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+120
FanDuel+115
Unibet+120

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-134
Unibet-134

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+750
FanDuel+900
Unibet+750

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+1300
FanDuel+1300
Unibet+1300

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+1800
FanDuel+1800
Unibet+1800

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+200
FanDuel+250
Unibet+200

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+475
FanDuel+550
Unibet+475

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+850
FanDuel+950
Unibet+850

Barberena wins in round 1

BetWay+1000
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+1100

Nelson wins in round 1

BetWay+188
FanDuel+230
Unibet+225

Barberena wins in round 2

BetWay+1400
FanDuel+1400
Unibet+1500

Nelson wins in round 2

BetWay+500
FanDuel+500
Unibet+540

Barberena wins in round 3

BetWay+2000
FanDuel+1900
Unibet+2000

Nelson wins in round 3

BetWay+1000
FanDuel+900
Unibet+900

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-230

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-104

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+380

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel-110

Barberena wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+650
Unibet+700

Nelson wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+155
Unibet+150