CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Lightweight · 5R · 2024-04-13 · Las VegasRef: Marc Goddard
Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje

11-5 UFC

Lightweight

69%

Win %

44%

Finish %

VS

Tko

Punch to Head At Distance

Rd 5 · 4:59

Max Holloway
WINNER

Max Holloway

25-9 UFC

Lightweight

73%

Win %

42%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

GaethjeStatHolloway
103/199
Sig Strikes
181/309
103/199
Total Strikes
181/309
0/0
Takedowns
0/0
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

JUSTIN GAETHJE

44%

FINISH %

6.3

STRIKES / MIN

178 cm

REACH

180 cm

HEIGHT

MAX HOLLOWAY

42%

FINISH %

6.9

STRIKES / MIN

175 cm

REACH

180 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

GaethjeBookHolloway
-190BetMGM+155
-195BetRivers+155
-150BetWay+125
-190Caesars+160
-185DraftKings+154
-180FanDuel+152
-195Unibet+155

PROP LINES

Gaethje wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+150
BetRivers+143
BetWay+130
DraftKings+150
FanDuel+145
Unibet+143

Holloway wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+500
BetRivers+600
BetWay+600
DraftKings+550
FanDuel+550
Unibet+600

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

1
0:00
Control Time
0:00
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

44(36%)
HEAD
62(42%)
26(62%)
BODY
62(68%)
33(92%)
LEG
57(83%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

103(52%)
DISTANCE
181(59%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
0(0%)
0(0%)
GROUND
0(0%)
+5000
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+102
BetWay-110
Caesars+105
DraftKings+100
FanDuel+108
Unibet+102

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-132
Unibet-132

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-455
BetWay-450
Unibet-455

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+300
BetWay+300
Unibet+300

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers-235
BetWay-250
Unibet-235

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers+170
BetWay+175
Unibet+170

Over 3½ rounds

BetRivers-150
BetWay-163
FanDuel-166
Unibet-150

Under 3½ rounds

BetRivers+114
BetWay+120
FanDuel+130
Unibet+114

Over 4½ rounds

BetRivers-110
BetWay-120
Unibet-110

Under 4½ rounds

BetRivers-121
BetWay-110
Unibet-121

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+410
BetWay+450
FanDuel+440
Unibet+410

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+550
BetWay+600
FanDuel+550
Unibet+550

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+700
BetWay+800
FanDuel+700
Unibet+700

Fight ends in round 4

BetRivers+900
BetWay+1200
FanDuel+950
Unibet+900

Fight ends in round 5

BetRivers+1200
BetWay+1600
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1200

Gaethje wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+290
Unibet+290

Holloway wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+1200
Unibet+1200

Gaethje wins in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+550
Unibet+550

Holloway wins in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+1300
Unibet+1300

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+215
Unibet+215

Fight ends in round 3 or 4

BetRivers+360
Unibet+360

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+390
FanDuel+500
Unibet+390

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+540
FanDuel+650
Unibet+540

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+650
FanDuel+800
Unibet+650

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 4

BetRivers+800
FanDuel+1100
Unibet+800

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 5

BetRivers+1200
FanDuel+1300
Unibet+1200

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+4000
FanDuel+4000
Unibet+4000

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+4500
FanDuel+4800
Unibet+4500

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+4500
FanDuel+5500
Unibet+4500

Fight ends in submission in round 4

BetRivers+5500
FanDuel+6000
Unibet+5500

Fight ends in submission in round 5

BetRivers+6600
FanDuel+7000
Unibet+6600

Gaethje wins in round 1

BetWay+550
FanDuel+550
Unibet+575

Holloway wins in round 1

BetWay+2200
FanDuel+2100
Unibet+2000

Gaethje wins in round 2

BetWay+700
FanDuel+750
Unibet+750

Holloway wins in round 2

BetWay+2500
FanDuel+2400
Unibet+2400

Gaethje wins in round 3

BetWay+900
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1000

Holloway wins in round 3

BetWay+2800
FanDuel+2600
Unibet+2200

Gaethje wins in round 4

BetWay+1400
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1300

Holloway wins in round 4

BetWay+3300
FanDuel+2500
Unibet+2400

Gaethje wins in round 5

BetWay+1800
FanDuel+1900
Unibet+1900

Holloway wins in round 5

BetWay+4000
FanDuel+2800
Unibet+3000

Gaethje wins in 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetWay+1800

Holloway wins in 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetWay+3300

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetWay+1600
DraftKings+2200

Gaethje has more takedowns

BetWay+240

Holloway has more takedowns

BetWay+240

Gaethje has more significant strikes

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes

BetWay-110

Gaethje has more significant strikes in round 1

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes in round 1

BetWay-110

Gaethje has more significant strikes in round 2

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes in round 2

BetWay-110

Gaethje has more significant strikes in round 3

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes in round 3

BetWay-110

Gaethje has more significant strikes in round 4

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes in round 4

BetWay-110

Gaethje has more significant strikes in round 5

BetWay-110

Holloway has more significant strikes in round 5

BetWay-110

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings-115
FanDuel-120

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+900
FanDuel+1200

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+2000

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-700

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel-280

Fight starts round 4

FanDuel-168

Fight starts round 5

FanDuel-120

Gaethje wins in final round or by decision

Unibet+240

Holloway wins in final round or by decision

Unibet+260