CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Lightweight · 3R · 2021-08-21 · Las VegasRef: Keith Peterson
Clay Guida

Clay Guida

13-14 UFC

Lightweight

48%

Win %

19%

Finish %

VS

Split Decision

Mark Madsen
WINNER

Mark Madsen

4-2 UFC

Lightweight

67%

Win %

17%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

28Mike Bell29
29Sal D'amato28
27Eric Colon30

FIGHT STATS

GuidaStatMadsen
72/212
Sig Strikes
98/192
72/212
Total Strikes
101/198
0/0
Takedowns
0/1
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

CLAY GUIDA

19%

FINISH %

2.7

STRIKES / MIN

178 cm

REACH

170 cm

HEIGHT

MARK MADSEN

17%

FINISH %

3.6

STRIKES / MIN

183 cm

REACH

173 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

GuidaBookMadsen
+150BetMGM-185
+135BetRivers-175
+140BetWay-175
+135Caesars-160
+150DraftKings-170
+150FanDuel-178
+135Unibet-175

PROP LINES

Guida wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+700
BetRivers+700
BetWay+700
DraftKings+700
FanDuel+750
Unibet+700

Madsen wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+650
BetRivers+700
BetWay+700
DraftKings+700
FanDuel+600
Unibet+700

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+5000
BetWay+5000

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
0:00
Control Time
0:54
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

30(19%)
HEAD
70(44%)
5(38%)
BODY
17(81%)
37(97%)
LEG
11(92%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

64(32%)
DISTANCE
80(47%)
8(89%)
CLINCH
18(90%)
0(0%)
GROUND
0(0%)
DraftKings+5000
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+5000

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers-200
BetWay-225
Caesars-225
DraftKings-200
FanDuel-168
Unibet-200

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-305
Unibet-305

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers-240
BetWay-250
Caesars-250
FanDuel-235
Unibet-240

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers+175
BetWay+175
Caesars+175
FanDuel+180
Unibet+175

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+1000
BetWay+400
DraftKings+400
FanDuel+350

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+1200
BetWay+700
DraftKings+550
FanDuel+600

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+1400
BetWay+900
DraftKings+850
FanDuel+900

Fight ends within 0:01-1:00 of round 1

BetRivers+1800
DraftKings+2000

Guida wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+500
FanDuel+550
Unibet+500

Madsen wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+360
FanDuel+370
Unibet+360

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+205
Unibet+205

Over 1½ rounds

BetWay-400

Under 1½ rounds

BetWay+275

Guida wins in round 1

BetWay+900
DraftKings+800
FanDuel+900
Unibet+1000

Madsen wins in round 1

BetWay+700
DraftKings+750
FanDuel+650
Unibet+700

Guida wins in round 2

BetWay+1200
DraftKings+1200
FanDuel+1600
Unibet+1200

Madsen wins in round 2

BetWay+900
DraftKings+900
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1000

Guida wins in round 3

BetWay+1600
DraftKings+1800
FanDuel+2100
Unibet+1400

Madsen wins in round 3

BetWay+1400
DraftKings+1400
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1400

Fight starts round 2

DraftKings-650
FanDuel-600

Fight starts round 3

DraftKings-300
FanDuel-260

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

DraftKings+330
FanDuel+330

Either fighter wins by submission

DraftKings+350
FanDuel+290

Either fighter gets points deducted

DraftKings+3500

Either fighter wins by unanimous decision

DraftKings+110

Either fighter wins by split/majority decision

DraftKings+300

Guida wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+210
Unibet+210

Madsen wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+125
Unibet+110

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

FanDuel+800

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

FanDuel+1300

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

FanDuel+1800

Fight ends in submission in round 1

FanDuel+750

Fight ends in submission in round 2

FanDuel+1200

Fight ends in submission in round 3

FanDuel+1700