CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Featherweight · 3R · 2023-04-29 · Las VegasRef: Chris Tognoni
Julian Erosa

Julian Erosa

9-9 UFC

Featherweight

50%

Win %

33%

Finish %

VS

Tko

Punches to Head At Distance

Rd 1 · 1:41

Fernando Padilla
WINNER

Fernando Padilla

2-2 UFC

Featherweight

50%

Win %

50%

Finish %

FIGHT STATS

ErosaStatPadilla
15/24
Sig Strikes
20/29
15/24
Total Strikes
20/29
0/1
Takedowns
0/0
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

JULIAN EROSA

33%

FINISH %

6.1

STRIKES / MIN

188 cm

REACH

185 cm

HEIGHT

FERNANDO PADILLA

50%

FINISH %

6.1

STRIKES / MIN

193 cm

REACH

185 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

ErosaBookPadilla
-160BetMGM+130
-148BetRivers+117
-150BetWay+120
-150Caesars+125
-158FanDuel+134
-148Unibet+117

PROP LINES

Erosa wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+400
BetRivers+550
BetWay+500
FanDuel+480
Unibet+550

Padilla wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+325
BetRivers+360
BetWay+275
FanDuel+360
Unibet+360

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+6600
FanDuel+5000
Unibet+4500

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

1
0:00
Control Time
0:02
0
Sub Attempts
0

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

9(50%)
HEAD
17(68%)
1(100%)
BODY
2(67%)
5(100%)
LEG
1(100%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

15(63%)
DISTANCE
19(68%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
0(0%)
0(0%)
GROUND
1(100%)

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+150
BetWay+150
Caesars+150
FanDuel+162
Unibet+150

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers-114
Unibet-114

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers-159
BetWay-150
Unibet-159

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers+120
BetWay+110
Unibet+120

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+120
BetWay+120
FanDuel+124
Unibet+120

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-159
BetWay-163
FanDuel-158
Unibet-159

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers+175
BetWay+163
FanDuel+165
Unibet+175

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+360
BetWay+350
FanDuel+340
Unibet+360

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+650
BetWay+600
FanDuel+600
Unibet+650

Padilla wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+310
FanDuel+300
Unibet+310

Erosa wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+200
FanDuel+180
Unibet+200

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-127
Unibet-127

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+380
FanDuel+410
Unibet+380

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+650
FanDuel+750
Unibet+650

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+1150
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1150

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+375
FanDuel+440
Unibet+375

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+650
FanDuel+750
Unibet+650

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1200
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1200

Padilla wins in round 1

BetWay+450
FanDuel+500
Unibet+540

Erosa wins in round 1

BetWay+400
FanDuel+360
Unibet+370

Padilla wins in round 2

BetWay+700
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+900

Erosa wins in round 2

BetWay+600
FanDuel+600
Unibet+650

Padilla wins in round 3

BetWay+1200
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1400

Erosa wins in round 3

BetWay+900
FanDuel+1000
Unibet+1150

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-225

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel+100

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+170

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+180

Padilla wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+380
Unibet+310

Erosa wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+220
Unibet+240