CageSide
DashboardEventsOur PicksCommunityFightersFight PredictorSign in

Disclaimer: CageSide is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Picks and "BETs" are statistical model outputs for educational purposes — not gambling advice and not a guarantee of any outcome. Past model performance does not predict future results. Sports betting carries a substantial risk of loss; only wager what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ in some U.S. states) to use this site.

Problem with gambling? Call the U.S. National Council on Problem Gambling: 1-800-GAMBLER (24/7, confidential, free).

© 2026 CageSideAboutTermsPrivacyContact@CageSideApp
  • Home
  • Picks
  • Events
  • Feed
  • You
← UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Welterweight · 3R · 2025-10-11 · Rio de JaneiroRef: Osiris Maia
Vicente Luque

Vicente Luque

16-8 UFC

Middleweight

67%

Win %

58%

Finish %

VS

Decision

Joel Alvarez
WINNER

Joel Alvarez

8-3 UFC

Welterweight

73%

Win %

64%

Finish %

SCORECARDS

26Mateus Fonseca30
26Sal D'amato30
26David Lethaby30

FIGHT STATS

LuqueStatAlvarez
30/99
Sig Strikes
89/148
31/101
Total Strikes
197/288
0/2
Takedowns
1/1
0
Knockdowns

CAREER STATS

VICENTE LUQUE

58%

FINISH %

4.7

STRIKES / MIN

191 cm

REACH

180 cm

HEIGHT

JOEL ALVAREZ

64%

FINISH %

4.5

STRIKES / MIN

196 cm

REACH

191 cm

HEIGHT

MONEYLINES

LuqueBookAlvarez
+400BetMGM-525
+450BetRivers-625
+400BetWay-549
+400Caesars-550
+410FanDuel-650
+450Unibet-625

PROP LINES

Alvarez wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+125
BetRivers+135
BetWay+130
FanDuel+145
Unibet+135

Luque wins by TKO/KO

BetMGM+800
BetRivers+1200
BetWay+1200
FanDuel+900
Unibet+1200

Fight is a draw

BetMGM+5000
BetRivers+4500
BetWay+8000
Caesars+6000
FanDuel+5000

HIGHLIGHTS

Search YouTube

Full fight & highlights

UFC.com

Official fight page

Search X

Reactions & clips

DISCUSSION· 0

Sign in to add your take.

No comments yet. Be the first.

0
0:00
Control Time
6:30
0
Sub Attempts
1

SIG STRIKES BY TARGET

16(22%)
HEAD
74(57%)
6(46%)
BODY
12(80%)
8(67%)
LEG
3(100%)

SIG STRIKES BY POSITION

30(30%)
DISTANCE
55(55%)
0(0%)
CLINCH
0(0%)
0(0%)
GROUND
34(71%)
Unibet+4500

Fight goes to decision

BetRivers+350
BetWay+350
FanDuel+370
Unibet+350

Fight ends in final round or goes to decision

BetRivers+190
Unibet+190

Over 1½ rounds

BetRivers+125
BetWay+120
FanDuel+126
Unibet+128

Under 1½ rounds

BetRivers-175
BetWay-163
FanDuel-158
Unibet-175

Over 2½ rounds

BetRivers+255
BetWay+240
Unibet+270

Under 2½ rounds

BetRivers-400
BetWay-350
Unibet-400

Fight ends in round 1

BetRivers-109
BetWay+105
FanDuel-110
Unibet-109

Fight ends in round 2

BetRivers+300
BetWay+275
FanDuel+260
Unibet+300

Fight ends in round 3

BetRivers+650
BetWay+600
FanDuel+650
Unibet+650

Alvarez wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-200
FanDuel-195
Unibet-200

Luque wins in round 1 or 2

BetRivers+850
FanDuel+700
Unibet+850

Fight ends in round 1 or 2

BetRivers-295
Unibet-295

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 1

BetRivers+205
FanDuel+250
Unibet+205

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 2

BetRivers+525
FanDuel+550
Unibet+525

Fight ends in TKO/KO/DQ in round 3

BetRivers+1100
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1100

Fight ends in submission in round 1

BetRivers+275
FanDuel+310
Unibet+275

Fight ends in submission in round 2

BetRivers+700
FanDuel+650
Unibet+700

Fight ends in submission in round 3

BetRivers+1400
FanDuel+1500
Unibet+1400

Alvarez wins in round 1

BetWay+130
Caesars+115
FanDuel+120
Unibet+120

Luque wins in round 1

BetWay+1600
Caesars+900
FanDuel+1200
Unibet+1300

Alvarez wins in round 2

BetWay+300
Caesars+340
FanDuel+330
Unibet+360

Luque wins in round 2

BetWay+2200
Caesars+1500
FanDuel+1700
Unibet+2200

Alvarez wins in round 3

BetWay+700
Caesars+700
FanDuel+850
Unibet+800

Luque wins in round 3

BetWay+3300
Caesars+2500
FanDuel+3000
Unibet+3500

Fight starts round 2

FanDuel-130

Fight starts round 3

FanDuel+215

Either fighter wins by TKO/KO

FanDuel+100

Either fighter wins by submission

FanDuel+140

Alvarez wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+330
Unibet+295

Luque wins in final round or by decision

FanDuel+1000
Unibet+950